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Exporter dynamics and partial-year effects

Bernard, Andrew B., Massari, Renzo, Reyes, Jose-Daniel and Taglioni, Daria (2016) Exporter dynamics and partial-year effects. CEP Discussion Paper (1430). Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.

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Abstract

Two identical firms that start exporting in different months, one each in January and December, will report dramatically different exports for the first calendar year. This partial-year effect biases down first year export levels and biases up first year export growth rates. For Peruvian exporters, the partialyear bias is large: first-year export levels are understated by 65 percent and the first year growth rate is overstated by 112 percentage points. Correcting the partial-year effect eliminates high first year export growth rates, raises initial export levels and almost doubles the contribution of net firm entry and exit to overall export growth.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL: http://cep.lse.ac.uk/
Additional Information: © 2016 The Authors
Divisions: Centre for Economic Performance
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
JEL classification: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C8 - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs > C81 - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data
F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F14 - Country and Industry Studies of Trade
Sets: Research centres and groups > Centre for Economic Performance (CEP)
Date Deposited: 09 Sep 2016 10:12
Last Modified: 12 Aug 2019 23:26
Funders: Economic and Social Research Council, Economic and Social Research Council
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/67656

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