Climate change assessments: confidence, probability and decision

Bradley, Richard ORCID: 0000-0003-2184-7844, Helgeson, Casey ORCID: 0000-0001-5333-9954 and Hill, Brian (2017) Climate change assessments: confidence, probability and decision. Philosophy of Science, 84 (3). pp. 500-522. ISSN 0031-8248

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Abstract

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in their periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC's novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.

Item Type:	Article
Official URL:	http://journal.philsci.org/
Additional Information:	© 2017 Philosophy of Science Association
Divisions:	Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method
Subjects:	B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > B Philosophy (General)
Date Deposited:	08 Aug 2016 08:45
Last Modified:	13 Oct 2025 23:23
Projects:	AH/J006033/1, AH/J006033/1
Funders:	Arts and Humanities Research Council, AH/J006033/1 Arts and Humanities Research Council
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/67373

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