Wallis, Patrick ORCID: 0000-0003-1434-515X, Colson, Justin and Chilosi, David ORCID: 0000-0002-2251-0381 (2016) Puncturing the Malthus delusion: structural change in the British economy before the industrial revolution, 1500-1800. Economic History Working Papers (240/2016). London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.
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Abstract
Accounts of structural change in the pre-modern British economy vary substantially. We present the first time series of male labour sectoral shares before 1800, using a large sample of probate and apprenticeship data to produce national and county-level estimates. England experienced a rapid decline in the agricultural share between the early seventeenth and the beginning of the eighteenth centuries, associated with rising agricultural and especially industrial productivity; Wales saw only limited changes. Our results provide further evidence of early structural change, highlighting the significance of the mid-seventeenth century as a turning point in English economic development.
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