Cookies?
Library Header Image
LSE Research Online LSE Library Services

Disaster and fortune risk in asset returns

Ergun, Lerby M. (2016) Disaster and fortune risk in asset returns. Discussion Paper Series (59). London School of Economics and Political Science, Systemic Risk Centre, London, UK.

[img]
Preview
PDF - Published Version
Download (798kB) | Preview

Abstract

Do Disaster risk and Fortune risk fetch a premium or discount in the pricing of individual assets? Disaster risk and Fortune risk are measures for the co-movement of individual stocks with the market, given that the state of the world is extremely bad and extremely good, respectively. To address this question measures of Disaster risk and Fortune risk, derived from statistical Extreme Value Theory, are constructed. The measures are non-parametric and the number of order statistics to be used in the analysis is based on the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance. This alleviates the problem of an arbitrarily chosen extreme region. The extreme dependence measures are used in Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional asset pricing regressions including Market, Fama-French, Liquidity and Momentum factors. I find that Disaster risk fetches a significant premium of 0.43% for the average stock.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL: http://www.systemicrisk.ac.uk/
Additional Information: © 2016 The Author
Divisions: Systemic Risk Centre
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Sets: Research centres and groups > Systemic Risk Centre
Date Deposited: 21 Apr 2016 08:13
Last Modified: 20 Feb 2019 03:57
Projects: ES/K002309/1
Funders: Economic and Social Research Council
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/66194

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item

Downloads

Downloads per month over past year

View more statistics