Burgess, Simon, Gardiner, Karen and Propper, Carol (2001) Why rising tides don't lift all boats: an explanation of the relationship between poverty and unemployment in Britain. CASEpaper (46). Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion, London, UK.
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Abstract
This paper is motivated by the lack of any obvious relationship between aggregate poverty and unemployment in Great Britain. We derive a framework based on individuals' risks of unemployment and poverty, and how these vary over the economic cycle. Analysing the British Household Panel Survey for 1991-96, we are able to square the micro evidence - that unemployment matters for poverty - with the macro picture - that there's no strong link. We then go on to identify which household and individual characteristics are associated with whether an individual's poverty risk is vulnerable to the economic cycle.
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