Gietzmann, Miles B. and Ostaszewski, Adam ORCID: 0000-0003-2630-8663
(2016)
The sound of silence: equilibrium filtering and optimalcensoring in financial markets.
Advances in Applied Probability, 48 (A).
pp. 119-144.
ISSN 0001-8678
Abstract
Following the approach of standard filtering theory, we analyse investor-valuation of firms, when these are modelled as geometric-Brownian state processes that are privately and partially observed, at random (Poisson) times, by agents. Tasked with disclosing forecast values, agents are able purposefully to withhold their observations; explicit filtering formulas are derived for downgrading the valuations in the absence of disclosures. The analysis is conducted for both a solitary firm and m co-dependent firms.
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