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Diversification and financial stability

Tasca, Paolo ORCID: 0000-0002-5460-5940 and Battiston, Stefano (2014) Diversification and financial stability. Systemic Risk Centre Discussion Papers (10). Systemic Risk Centre, The London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.

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Abstract

This paper contributes to a growing literature on the pitfalls of diversification by shedding light on a new mechanism under which, full risk diversification can be sub-optimal. In particular, banks must choose the optimal level of diversification in a market where returns display a bimodal distribution. This feature results from the combination of two opposite economic trends that are weighted by the probability of being either in a bad or in a good state of the world. Banks have also interlocked balance sheets, with interbank claims marked-to-market according to the individual default probability of the obligor. Default is determined by extending the Black and Cox (1976) first-passage-time approach to a network context. We find that, even in the absence of transaction costs, the optimal level of risk diversification is interior. Moreover, in the presence of market externalities, individual incentives favor a banking system that is over-diversified with respect to the level of socially desirable diversification.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL: http://www.systemicrisk.ac.uk/
Additional Information: © 2014 The Authors
Divisions: Systemic Risk Centre
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
JEL classification: G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G20 - General
G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G28 - Government Policy and Regulation
Date Deposited: 29 Aug 2014 11:37
Last Modified: 11 Dec 2024 19:14
Projects: ES/K002309/1, CH1-01-08-2, 255987, CR12I1-127000/1
Funders: ESRC, Coping with Crises in Complex Socio-Economic Systems, European FET Open Project “FOC", SNSF project “OTC Derivatives and Systemic Risk in Financial Networks"
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/59297

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