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Owner liability and financial reporting information as predictors of firm default in bank loans

Bhimani, Alnoor ORCID: 0000-0002-1884-5840, Gulamhussen, Mohamed Azzim and Rocha Lopes, Samuel (2014) Owner liability and financial reporting information as predictors of firm default in bank loans. Review of Accounting Studies, 19 (2). pp. 769-804. ISSN 1380-6653

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Identification Number: 10.1007/s11142-013-9269-0

Abstract

We examine the effects of owner liability and non-accounting and financial accounting information on the probability of default as defined in Basel II in bank loan contracted by non listed firms. We model default as a function of owner liability and accounting and non-accounting information of non-listed firms, drawing on 43,117 annual accounts of 16,029 firms over a 7-year period. Our estimations based on mixed logistic regressions with random parameters show that the predicted default probability of full-liability firms is 0.72 times that of limited liability firms. The likelihood ratio test for omitted variables confirms the additional predictive ability of liability status over and above other non-accounting and financial accounting information. A Heckman self-selection model does not indicate sampling bias. The particular definition of default used in the study enables the findings to be generalizable across other institutional contexts.

Item Type: Article
Official URL: http://link.springer.com/journal/11142
Additional Information: © 2014 Springer, Part of Springer Science+Business Media
Divisions: Accounting
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HF Commerce > HF5601 Accounting
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Date Deposited: 22 Jan 2014 12:14
Last Modified: 01 Oct 2024 03:40
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/55396

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