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The elusive costs and the immaterial gains of fiscal constraints

Canova, Fabio and Pappa, Evi (2004) The elusive costs and the immaterial gains of fiscal constraints. 295. IGIER, Università Bocconi, Milan, Italy. (Unpublished)

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Abstract

We study whether fiscal restrictions affect volatilities and correlations of macrovariables and the probability of excessive debt for a sample of 48 US states. Fiscal constraints are characterized with a number of indicators and volatility and correlations are computed in several ways. The second moments of macroeconomic variables in states with different fiscal constraints are economically and statistically similar. Excessive debt and the mechanism linking budget deficit and excessive debts are independent of whether tight or loose fiscal constraints are in place. Creative budget accounting may account for the results.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Official URL: http://pareto.uab.es/~evipappa/working.htm
Additional Information: Copright © 2004 Fabio Canova and Evi Pappa.
Library of Congress subject classification: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Sets: Departments > Economics
Collections > Economists Online
Rights: http://www.lse.ac.uk/library/usingTheLibrary/academicSupport/OA/depositYourResearch.aspx
Identification Number: 295
Date Deposited: 12 Dec 2005
URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/518/

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