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Health spending projections through 2018: recession effects add uncertainty to the outlook

Sisko, Andrea and Truffer, Christopher and Smith, Sheila and Keehan, Sean and Cylus, Jonathan and Poisal, John A. and Clemens, M. Kent and Lizonitz, Joseph (2009) Health spending projections through 2018: recession effects add uncertainty to the outlook. Health Affairs, 28 (2). w346-w357. ISSN 0278-2715

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Identification Number: 10.1377/hlthaff.28.2.w346

Abstract

During the projection period (2008–2018), average annual growth in national health spending is projected to be 6.2 percent—2.1 percentage points faster than average annual growth in gross domestic product (GDP). The health share of GDP is anticipated to rise rapidly from 16.2 percent in 2007 to 17.6 percent in 2009, largely as a result of the recession, and then climb to 20.3 percent by 2018. Public payers are expected to become the largest source of funding for health care in 2016 and are projected to pay for more than half of all national health spending in 2018.

Item Type: Article
Official URL: http://www.healthaffairs.org/
Additional Information: © 2009 Project HOPE
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HJ Public Finance
R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine
Sets: Research centres and groups > LSE Health and Social Care
Research centres and groups > ALPHA (Ageing, Lifecourse and Population Health Analysis)
Date Deposited: 13 Jul 2012 14:46
Last Modified: 29 May 2015 16:19
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/44860

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