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The Coalition Government has only a 1 in 3 chance of lasting its term. Statistical modelling predicts its fall in October 2014

Hanretty, Chris (2012) The Coalition Government has only a 1 in 3 chance of lasting its term. Statistical modelling predicts its fall in October 2014. British Politics and Policy at LSE (23 Feb 2012) Blog Entry.

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Abstract

There has been much recent talk about the possibility of the Coalition government falling before the parliamentary term is up. Chris Hanretty uses a quantitative statistical model to suggest that this is indeed probable, and that the best prediction indicates the government will fall in October 2014.

Item Type: Website (Blog Entry)
Official URL: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/
Additional Information: © 2012 The Author
Library of Congress subject classification: J Political Science > JC Political theory
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
Sets: Collections > British Politics and Policy at LSE
Rights: http://www.lse.ac.uk/library/usingTheLibrary/academicSupport/OA/depositYourResearch.aspx
Date Deposited: 28 Jun 2012 15:36
URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/44555/

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