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Stock prices under pressure: how tax and interest rates drive returns at the turn of the tax year

Kang, Johnny, Pekkala, Tapio, Polk, Christopher and Ribeiro, Ruy (2011) Stock prices under pressure: how tax and interest rates drive returns at the turn of the tax year. Financial Markets Group Discussion Papers (671). Financial Markets Group, The London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. ISBN 09568549671

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Abstract

We show that the level of interest rates determines the magnitude of mispricing at the turn of the tax year, as investors face the trade-o¤ between selling a temporarily depressed stock this year and selling next year, but delaying tax implications by one year. Interest rates do explain the predictable variation in US returns and selling behaviour around the turn of the year. Similar results in the UK provide out-of-sample confirmation, as tax and calendar years di¤er. Moreover, part of the variation in the risks and abnormal returns of size, value, and momentum factors can be linked to tax-motivated trading.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL: https://www.fmg.ac.uk/publications/discussion-pape...
Additional Information: © 2011 Financial Markets Group, London School of Economics and Political Science
Divisions: Finance
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
JEL classification: G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G11 - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G12 - Asset Pricing; Trading volume; Bond Interest Rates
Date Deposited: 16 Apr 2012 11:05
Last Modified: 13 Sep 2024 20:19
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/43096

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