Comas-Herrera, Adelina 
ORCID: 0000-0002-9860-9062, Malley, Juliette ORCID: 0000-0001-5759-1647, Wittenberg, Raphael ORCID: 0000-0003-3096-2721, Hu, Bo ORCID: 0000-0002-5256-505X and Jagger, Carol
(2011)
Disability, dementia and the future costs of long-term care.
Eurohealth, 17 (2,3).
pp. 10-12.
ISSN 1356-1030
Abstract
Increasingly sophisticated efforts to project future long-term care (LTC) expenditure highlight that this is very sensitive to assumptions made about future rates of disability and dementia. This article reviews different ways of formulating such assumptions and gives examples of their impact on future LTC expenditure projections in England. Using disability scenarios from an epidemiological model (based on assumptions about chronic diseases and their outcomes and expected treatments), suggests that assuming constant prevalence of disability may be optimistic . The projections indicate that investing in cost effective public health and management of chronic conditions measures that moderate disability or slow down the progression of dementia may produce good returns in terms of reducing the future costs of LTC.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Official URL: | http://www2.lse.ac.uk/LSEHealthAndSocialCare/publi... |
| Additional Information: | © 2011 LSE Health |
| Divisions: | Care Policy and Evaluation Centre LSE Health |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General) |
| Date Deposited: | 08 Mar 2012 11:34 |
| Last Modified: | 01 Nov 2024 05:22 |
| URI: | http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/42277 |
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