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Asymmetric propagation of financial crises during the Great Depression

Accominotti, Olivier (2012) Asymmetric propagation of financial crises during the Great Depression. In: Modern and comparative economic history seminar, 26 January 2012, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. (Unpublished)

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Abstract

This paper aims to identify the main factors of international financial crisis propagation during the 1930s. Based on an extensive cross-country dataset documenting exchange market turbulence, bond spreads and stock market returns at a monthly frequency and using Principal Component Analysis, I explore the main factors of co-movement in the international financial series. I find that the 1931 crash accounts for most of the co-movement between countries on all financial markets. Not only was the 1931 crisis the main global shock of the Great Depression, but it also acted divisively. Some countries remained unaffected by the shock and even benefited from the crisis. I suggest that these countries' specific path over the 1930s was related to their position as net exporters of capital during the credit boom of the previous decade.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Lecture)
Official URL: http://www2.lse.ac.uk/economicHistory/
Additional Information: © 2012 The author
Library of Congress subject classification: D History General and Old World > D History (General) > D204 Modern History
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Journal of Economic Literature Classification System: N - Economic History > N2 - Financial Markets and Institutions > N20 - General, International, or Comparative
Sets: Departments > Economic History
Collections > Economists Online
Rights: http://www.lse.ac.uk/library/usingTheLibrary/academicSupport/OA/depositYourResearch.aspx
Date Deposited: 25 Jan 2012 12:21
URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/41704/

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