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Globalisation, import prices and inflation: how reliable are the ‘tailwinds’?

Bowen, Alex and Mayhew, Karen (2008) Globalisation, import prices and inflation: how reliable are the ‘tailwinds’? Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, 48 (3). pp. 283-291. ISSN 0005-5166

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Abstract

It is sometimes argued that increasing globalisation and openness to trade has exerted downward pressure on inflation in developed countries by, for example, reducing import prices. But, as recent experience of rising commodity prices suggests, globalisation may sometimes be associated with rising import prices. And, even when import prices were falling, the consequences for inflation depended on whether the changes in real incomes brought about were anticipated by households and how monetary policy reacted. Studies that neglect expectations and the role of monetary policy in determining inflation are likely to mismeasure the impact of globalisation on domestic inflation.

Item Type: Article
Official URL: http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/quarte...
Additional Information: © 2008 Bank of England
Library of Congress subject classification: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
H Social Sciences > HF Commerce
Journal of Economic Literature Classification System: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
Sets: Research centres and groups > Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment
Collections > Economists Online
Rights: http://www.lse.ac.uk/library/usingTheLibrary/academicSupport/OA/depositYourResearch.aspx
Date Deposited: 06 Dec 2011 15:01
URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/39931/

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