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News from London: Greek government bonds on the London Stock Exchange, 1914-1929

Christodoulaki, Olga and Penzer, Jeremy (2004) News from London: Greek government bonds on the London Stock Exchange, 1914-1929. Economic History Working Papers, 86/04. Department of Economic History, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.

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Abstract

Statistical analysis of Greek sovereign debt denominated in gold and traded on the London Stock Exchange from the outbreak of the First World War until the advent of the Great Depression is employed to explore the way that historical events including political and institutional changes shaped investors’ expectations of the capacity of the Greek government to honour its debt obligations. No a priori specification of important dates is made. Military defeat and its aftermath exerted a strong negative impact on the value of Greek sovereign debt. The statistical analysis shows that investors acted upon news of public debt, fiscal performance and money supply. Unforeseen political events also influenced bondholders’ expectations over future payments. By contrast, institutional innovations such as the adoption of the Gold Exchange Standard and the establishment of a central bank de novo did not produce any quantitative market response. Stabilisation and the concomitant institutional reforms however, were factored into the market price of Greek sovereign debt traded in London.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Official URL: http://www2.lse.ac.uk/economicHistory/workingPaper...
Additional Information: © 2004 Olga Christodoulaki & Jeremy Penzer
Library of Congress subject classification: D History General and Old World > DF Greece
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
D History General and Old World > D History (General) > D204 Modern History
D History General and Old World > DA Great Britain
Sets: Departments > Economic History
Collections > Economists Online
Rights: http://www.lse.ac.uk/library/usingTheLibrary/academicSupport/OA/depositYourResearch.aspx
Identification Number: 86/04
Date Deposited: 29 Jan 2009 18:03
URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/22335/

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