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Flexible term structure estimation: which method is preferred?

Jeffrey, Andrew, Linton, Oliver and Nguyen, Thong (2001) Flexible term structure estimation: which method is preferred? Financial Markets Group Discussion Papers (513). Financial Markets Group, The London School of Economics and Political Science, London.

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Abstract

We show that the recently developed nonparametric procedure for fitting the term structure of interest rates developed by Linton, Mammen, Nielsen, and Tanggaard (2000) overall performs notably better than the highly flexible McCulloch (1975) cubic spline and Fama and Bliss (1987) bootstrap methods. However, if interest is limited to the Treasury bill region alone then the Fama0Bliss method demonstrates superior performance. We further show, via simulation, that using the estimated short rate from the Linton-Mammen-Nielsen-Tanggaard procedure as a proxy for the short rate has a higher precision than the commonly used proxies of the one and three month Treasury bill rates. It is demonstrated that this precision is important when using proxies to estimate the stochastic process governing the evolution of the short rate.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL: https://www.fmg.ac.uk/
Additional Information: © 2001 The Authors
Divisions: STICERD
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
JEL classification: H - Public Economics > H0 - General > H00 - General
Date Deposited: 27 Apr 2007
Last Modified: 02 Nov 2022 14:06
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/2192

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