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A simple estimation of the NAIRU in the Japanese economy: 1953-85

Kurosaka, Y. (1991) A simple estimation of the NAIRU in the Japanese economy: 1953-85. CEP discussion paper (45). Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.

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This paper focuses on an estimation of the NARU in the Japanese economy between 1953 and 1985. The estimation of the NARU consists of two stages. The first regression is to obtain a wage equation which has demand and supply conditions in the labour market, and inflationary expectations as the two main explanatory variables. At the second stage an unemployment equation is specified. The unemployment equation is constructed so as to have the calculated ratio so the ex ante labour demand to supply from the estimated wage equation, and additional variables capturing structural changes in the labour market. The NAIRU is computed in the unemployment equation by setting the ratio of labour demand to supply to unity. The estimated NAIRU keeps decreasing between 1953 and 1966 with the exception of 1959, while it continues to rise during 1967 and 1985.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 1991 Y.Kurosaka
Divisions: Centre for Economic Performance
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
Date Deposited: 21 Aug 2008 13:37
Last Modified: 26 Apr 2021 11:43

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