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Aggregate and regional disaggregate fluctuations

Quah, Danny (1995) Aggregate and regional disaggregate fluctuations. Econometrics; EM/1995/290 (EM/1995/290). Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, London, UK.

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This paper models fluctuations in regional disaggregates as a nonstationary, dynamically evolving distribution. Doing so enables study of the dynamics of aggregate fluctuations jointly with those of the rich cross-section of regional disaggregates. For the US, the leading state - regardless of which it happens to be - contains strong predictive power for aggregate fluctuations. This effect is difficult to understand if only aggregate disturbances affect aggregate business cycles through aggregate propagation mechanisms. Instead, the better picture might be one of a "wave" of regional dynamics, rippling across the national economy

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 1995 the authors
Divisions: Centre for Economic Performance
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Date Deposited: 27 Apr 2007
Last Modified: 16 May 2024 11:18

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