Unemployment dynamics, duration and equilibrium: evidence from Britain

Burgess, Simon and Turon, Helene (2000) Unemployment dynamics, duration and equilibrium: evidence from Britain. CEPDP, 474. Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. ISBN 0753014181

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Abstract

This paper challenges the consensus on the nature of unemployment dynamics in Britain. We show that the argument that changes in unemployment arise mostly from changes in the duration of unemployment (rather than in the chance of becoming unemployed) is flawed. In fact, while shocks to the outflow do have a part to play up to the late 1970s, the huge changes in unemployment over the last two decades have been mostly driven by inflow shocks. Our model also provides a new explanation of aggregate unemployment persistence based on externalities at a market level rather than individual-level persistence.

Item Type:	Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL:	http://cep.lse.ac.uk
Additional Information:	© 2000 the authors
Library of Congress subject classification:	H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
Sets:	Collections > Economists Online Research centres and groups > Centre for Economic Performance (CEP)
Identification Number:	474
Date Deposited:	30 Jul 2008 12:38
URL:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/20162/

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