Opinion pooling on general agendas

Dietrich, Franz and List, Christian ORCID: 0000-0003-1627-800X (2008) Opinion pooling on general agendas. . Department of Government, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. (Submitted)

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Abstract

How can different individuals’ probability assignments to some events be aggregated into a collective probability assignment? Although there are several classic results on this problem, they all assume that the ‘agenda’of relevant events forms a -algebra, an overly demanding assumption for many practical applications. We drop this assumption and explore probabilistic opinion pooling on general agendas. Our main theorems characterize linear pooling and neutral pooling for large classes of agendas, with standard results as special cases.

Item Type:	Monograph (Working Paper)
Official URL:	http://personal.lse.ac.uk/list/default.htm
Additional Information:	© 2008 Franz Dietrich and Christian List
Divisions:	Government Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method CPNSS
Subjects:	B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > BC Logic
JEL classification:	D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D70 - General D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D71 - Social Choice; Clubs; Committees; Associations
Date Deposited:	29 Jul 2008 15:55
Last Modified:	13 Sep 2024 20:06
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/20127

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