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Fixed-term contracts and the duration distribution of unemployment

Guell, Maia (2001) Fixed-term contracts and the duration distribution of unemployment. CEPDP, 505. Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. ISBN 0753014939

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Identification Number: 505


In the mid-1980s, many European countries introduced fixed-term contracts. Since then their labor markets have become more dynamic. This paper studies the implications of such reforms for the duration distribution of unemployment, with particular emphasis on the changes in the duration dependence. I estimate a parametric duration model using cross-sectional data drawn from the Spanish Labor Force Survey from 1980 to 1994 to analyze the chances of leaving unemployment before and after the introduction of fixed-term contracts. I find that duration dependence has increased since such reform. Semi-parametric estimation of the model also shows that for long spells, the probability of leaving unemployment has decreased since such reform.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2001 Maia Guell
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
Sets: Collections > Economists Online
Research centres and groups > Centre for Economic Performance (CEP)
Date Deposited: 29 Jul 2008 15:19
Last Modified: 01 Oct 2010 09:14

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