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The importance of the wording of the ECB

Rosa, Carlo and Verga, Giovanni (2005) The importance of the wording of the ECB. CEPDP, 694. Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. ISBN 0753018756

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Identification Number: 694


This paper analyses the ECB communication, focusing in particular on its transparency dimension. We posit that if the ECB is transparent about its future policy decisions, then we should be able to forecast fairly well its future interest rate setting behaviour. We find that the predicting ability of the European monetary authority’s words, is similar to the one implied by market-based measures of monetary policy expectations. Moreover, the ECB’s wording provides complementary, rather than substitute, information with respect to economic and monetary variables.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2005 the authors
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Sets: Collections > Economists Online
Research centres and groups > Centre for Economic Performance (CEP)
Date Deposited: 23 Jul 2008 15:47
Last Modified: 01 Oct 2010 09:13

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