Food system transformation pathway reconciles 1.5° global warming with 17 improved health, environment and social inclusion

Leon Bodirsky, Benjamin, Beier, Felicitas, Humpenöder, Florian, Leip, Debbora, Crawford, Michael S., Meng-Chuen Chen, David, von Jeetze, Patrick, Springmann, Marco, Soergel, Bjoern, Nicholls, Zebedee, Strefler, Jessica, Lewis, Jared, Heinke, Jens, Müller, Christoph, Karstens, Kristine, Weindl, Isabelle, Stevanović, Miodrag, Rein, Patrick, Sauer, Pascal, Mishra, Abhijeet, Molina Bacca, Edna Johanna, Köberle, Alexandre C., Wang, Xiaoxi, Singh, Vartika, Hunecke, Claudia, Collignon, Quitterie, Schreinemachers, Pepijn, Dietz, Simon ORCID: 0000-0001-5002-018X, Kanbur, Ravi, Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Lotze-Campen, Hermann and Popp, Alexander (2025) Food system transformation pathway reconciles 1.5° global warming with 17 improved health, environment and social inclusion. Nature Food. ISSN 2662-1355 (In Press)

Text (Bodirsky et al FTSs AM) - Accepted Version Pending embargo until 1 January 2100. Available under License Creative Commons Attribution. Download (25MB)

Abstract

The improvement of the global food system requires thorough understanding of how specific measures may contribute to the system’s transformation. Here, we apply a global food and land system modeling framework to quantify the impact of 23 food system measures on 15 outcome indicators related to public health, the environment, social inclusion, and the economy, up to 2050. While all individual measures come with trade-offs, their combination can reduce trade-offs and enhance co-benefits. We estimate that combining all food system measures may reduce yearly mortality by 182 million life years and almost halves nitrogen surplus while offsetting negative effects of environmental protection measures on absolute poverty. In joint effort with measures outside the food system, the 1.5°C climate target can be achieved.

Item Type:	Article
Additional Information:	© 2025
Divisions:	Geography and Environment
Date Deposited:	05 Nov 2025 16:33
Last Modified:	06 Nov 2025 10:54
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/130069

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