Mayor's political party affiliation and local outcomes: evidence from SEE

Jurlina Alibegović, Dubravka, Monastiriotis, Vassilis ORCID: 0000-0003-3709-3119 and Nikolov, Marjan (2025) Mayor's political party affiliation and local outcomes: evidence from SEE. East European Politics, 41 (3). 485 - 510. ISSN 2159-9165

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Abstract

We examine how political-ideological congruence between central and municipal governments affects local governments' budgetary decisions and economic performance in Croatia and North Macedonia. We apply fixed effects models as well as a regression discontinuity methodology, using the margin of victory of the local mayor as the assignment-to-treatment variable in a local linear regression estimation context. The results show evidence of both fiscal laxity and fiscal tightening, post-election, for local authorities aligned politically with the party in government, depending on the national-institutional context. Ethnic divisions and affiliations can play a role in this.

Item Type:	Article
Additional Information:	© 2025 The Author(s)
Divisions:	Hellenic Observatory
Subjects:	J Political Science J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General) J Political Science > JS Local government Municipal government
Date Deposited:	02 Sep 2025 15:57
Last Modified:	30 Sep 2025 00:01
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/129365

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