Deemphasizing nuclear weapons in nuclear deterrence: the case for conventional counterforce

Seitz, Samuel and Sukin, Lauren ORCID: 0000-0002-5775-8790 (2025) Deemphasizing nuclear weapons in nuclear deterrence: the case for conventional counterforce. Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament. ISSN 2575-1654 (In Press)

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Abstract

This article advances a strategic theory on the benefits of integrated deterrence for the US alliance network in East Asia. After assessing the role of nuclear weapons in the region and tracing the evolution of US strategic thought on nuclear policy in East Asia, we evaluate the emerging risks and challenges of contemporary regional nuclear policy. We argue that over-reliance on nuclear weapons may exacerbate Sino-American tensions and pose difficulties for ally reassurance, especially against the backdrop of growing partisan politics in the United States. We outline and evaluate an alternative theory of integrated deterrence, which would prioritize the development of conventional counterforce capabilities and de-center nuclear weapons in the deterrence of nuclear threats. We assess this approach in relation to the escalation and entrapment risks posed by the current theory of regional nuclear deterrence. Finally, we reflect on the implications of US nuclear strategy in a changing regional nuclear environment.

Item Type:	Article
Additional Information:	© 2025 The Author(s)
Divisions:	International Relations
Subjects:	J Political Science > JZ International relations
Date Deposited:	29 May 2025 09:49
Last Modified:	29 May 2025 09:49
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/128194

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