Population growth, immigration, and labor market dynamics

Elsby, Michael W.L., Smith, Jennifer C. and Wadsworth, Jonathan (2024) Population growth, immigration, and labor market dynamics. Demography, 61 (5). pp. 1559-1584. ISSN 0070-3370

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Abstract

This article provides a first synthesis of population flows and labor market dynamics across immigrant and native-born populations. We devise a novel dynamic accounting methodology that integrates population flows from two sources-changes in birth cohort size and immigrant flows-with labor market dynamics. We illustrate the method using data for the United Kingdom, where population flows have been large and cyclical, driven first by the maturation of baby boom cohorts in the 1980s and later by immigration in the 2000s. New measures of labor market flows by migrant status uncover the flow origins of disparities in the levels and cyclicality of immigrant and native labor market outcomes and their more recent convergence. An application of our accounting framework reveals that population flows have played a nontrivial role in the volatility of labor markets among the UK-born and, especially, immigrants.

Item Type:	Article
Additional Information:	© 2024 The Author(s)
Divisions:	Centre for Economic Performance
Subjects:	J Political Science > JV Colonies and colonization. Emigration and immigration. International migration H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor H Social Sciences
Date Deposited:	25 Oct 2024 09:48
Last Modified:	20 Nov 2024 15:21
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/125889

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