On the credibility of inflation-targeting regimes in Latin America

Mariscal, Rodrigo, Powell, Andrew and Tavella, Pilar (2018) On the credibility of inflation-targeting regimes in Latin America. Economía, 18 (2). 1 - 24. ISSN 1529-7470

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Abstract

Inflation targeting has become popular in emerging economies. Eight countries in Latin America adopted this regime and were successful in bringing inflation down. However, continuing success depends on the credibility of the target. We interpret credibility as how tightly inflation expectations are anchored and develop a methodology to test the response to shocks. Inflation targets gained credibility over time, but when inflation rises above target, credibility suffers. Moreover, at the end of the sample, there is evidence of de-anchoring.

Item Type:	Article
Official URL:	https://economia.lse.ac.uk/
Additional Information:	© 2018 LACTEA
Divisions:	LSE
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions H Social Sciences > HG Finance
JEL classification:	E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects) E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E58 - Central Banks and Their Policies
Date Deposited:	10 Jul 2024 16:33
Last Modified:	12 Dec 2024 04:12
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/123156

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