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Commitment failures are unlikely to undermine public support for the Paris agreement

Beiser-McGrath, Liam F. ORCID: 0000-0001-9745-0320 and Bernauer, Thomas (2019) Commitment failures are unlikely to undermine public support for the Paris agreement. Nature Climate Change, 9 (3). 248 - 252. ISSN 1758-678X

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Identification Number: 10.1038/s41558-019-0414-z


Success of the 2015 Paris Agreement, which is founded on nationally determined contributions (NDCs), hinges on whether domestic support for international environmental agreements would be undermined if countries that are crucial to the global effort fail to reduce their emissions. Here we find that citizens in China (n = 3,000) and the United States (n = 3,007) have strong preferences over the design of international climate agreements and contributions of other countries to the global effort. However, contrary to what standard accounts of international politics would predict, a survey-embedded experiment in which respondents were randomly exposed to different information on other countries’ behaviour showed that information on other countries failing to reduce their emissions does not undermine support for how international agreements are designed. While other factors still make large emission cuts challenging, these results suggest that the Paris approach per se is not posing a problem.

Item Type: Article
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2019 The Authors, under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
J Political Science > JZ International relations
Date Deposited: 01 Nov 2022 14:36
Last Modified: 07 Jun 2024 20:03

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