Fanning, Andrew L., O’Neill, Daniel W., Hickel, Jason and Roux, Nicolas (2022) The social shortfall and ecological overshoot of nations. Nature Sustainability, 5 (1). pp. 26-36. ISSN 2398-9629
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
Previous research has shown that no country currently meets the basic needs of its residents at a level of resource use that could be sustainably extended to all people globally. Using the doughnut-shaped ‘safe and just space’ framework, we analyse the historical dynamics of 11 social indicators and 6 biophysical indicators across more than 140 countries from 1992 to 2015. We find that countries tend to transgress biophysical boundaries faster than they achieve social thresholds. The number of countries overshooting biophysical boundaries increased over the period from 32–55% to 50–66%, depending on the indicator. At the same time, the number of countries achieving social thresholds increased for five social indicators (in particular life expectancy and educational enrolment), decreased for two indicators (social support and equality) and showed little change for the remaining four indicators. We also calculate ‘business-as-usual’ projections to 2050, which suggest deep transformations are needed to safeguard human and planetary health. Current trends will only deepen the ecological crisis while failing to eliminate social shortfalls.
| Item Type: | Article |
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| Additional Information: | Funding Information: We are grateful to K. Raworth, J. K. Steinberger and M. Wackernagel for their kind reviews and constructive comments on earlier drafts. A.L.F. was supported by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement no. 752358. N.R. was supported by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement no. 765408. This research was further supported by funding from Research England’s QR Strategic Priorities Fund and an ESRC Impact Acceleration Account. Publisher Copyright: © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
| Divisions: | International Inequalities Institute |
| Date Deposited: | 11 Jul 2022 09:21 |
| Last Modified: | 17 Apr 2024 19:21 |
| URI: | http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/115519 |
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