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Probabilities of counterfactuals

Bradley, Richard ORCID: 0000-0003-2184-7844 (2021) Probabilities of counterfactuals. Argumenta, 6 (2). pp. 179-193. ISSN 2465-2334 (In Press)

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Identification Number: 10.14275/2465-2334/202112.bra

Abstract

The subjective probability of a subjunctive conditional is argued to be equal to the expected conditional credence in its consequent, given the truth of its antecedent, of an ‘expert’: someone who reasons faultlessly and who, at each point in time, is as fully informed about the state of the world as it is possible to be at that time.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: © 2021 The Author.
Divisions: Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method
Subjects: B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > B Philosophy (General)
Date Deposited: 10 Jun 2022 09:18
Last Modified: 17 Jun 2022 12:21
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/115336

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