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Raising climate ambition in emissions trading systems: the case of the EU ETS and the 2021 review

Quemin, Simon (2022) Raising climate ambition in emissions trading systems: the case of the EU ETS and the 2021 review. Resources and Energy Economics, 68. ISSN 0928-7655

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Identification Number: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2022.101300


We provide a quantitative assessment of policy options to inform the 2021 review of the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) and raise climate ambition. We use a permit trading model in which firms utilize rolling finite planning horizons, which replicates historical price and banking developments well compared to an in- finite horizon. When firms have bounded foresight, indirectly raising ambition through the Market Stability Reserve (MSR) is not equivalent to directly raising ambition through the emissions cap trajectory. Leveraging the MSR turns out to be efficiency improving as it compensates for firms’ bounded foresight by front- loading abatement efforts. We analyze the MSR interaction with the cap trajectory to exploit synergies and minimize the cost of raising ambition. We also provide a comparative assessment of a complete suite of changes in the MSR parameters. Whatever its parameters, MSR-induced resilience to demand shocks remains limited by design: the MSR acts more as an unconditional price support provider than as a responsive price stabilizer.

Item Type: Article
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2022 The Author
Divisions: Grantham Research Institute
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
Date Deposited: 04 Apr 2022 13:27
Last Modified: 17 Apr 2024 21:12

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