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Voting under threat: evidence from the 2020 French local elections

Leromain, Elsa and Vannoorenberghe, Gonzague (2021) Voting under threat: evidence from the 2020 French local elections. CEP Discussion Papers (1786). Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, London, UK.

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Abstract

We study how Covid-related risk affected participation across the French territory in the March 2020 local elections. We document that participation went down disproportionately in towns exposed to higher Covid-19 risk. Towns that lean towards the far-right saw a stronger drop in turnout, in particular in the vicinity of clusters. We argue that these patterns are partly a result of risk perceptions, and not only of political considerations. We use data on the drop in cinema admissions in early March 2020 and show that these went down more around infection clusters, especially in areas with substantial vote for the far-right. Taken together, our findings suggest that the fear of Covid-19 may have been on average more prevalent among far-right voters, contributing to a drop in their electoral participation.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL: https://cep.lse.ac.uk/_new/publications/discussion...
Additional Information: © 2021 The Authors
Divisions: Centre for Economic Performance
Subjects: J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe)
J Political Science > JS Local government Municipal government
R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine > RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine
H Social Sciences > HV Social pathology. Social and public welfare. Criminology
JEL classification: D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D72 - Economic Models of Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Date Deposited: 03 Mar 2022 15:21
Last Modified: 04 Mar 2022 00:03
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/113916

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