The strategy of protest against Covid-19 containment policies in Germany

Plümper, Thomas, Neumayer, Eric ORCID: 0000-0003-2719-7563 and Pfaff, Katharina Gabriela (2021) The strategy of protest against Covid-19 containment policies in Germany. Social Science Quarterly, 102 (5). 2236 - 2250. ISSN 0038-4941

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Abstract

Objectives: The article analyzes the epidemiological and political logics of protest against containment policies in Germany. To maximize the mobilization potential, protest organizers organize more protest events when Covid-19 mortality rates are low, the stringency of containment policies is high, and in districts in which the vote share of mainstream parties is traditionally low. Method: Using a negative binomial model, we analyze the number of protest events in a sample of 401 German districts over the period from March to May 2020. Results: We find robust positive predicted effects of the stringency of containment policies and negative predicted effects for the mortality rate and the strengths of mainstream parties. Conclusion: We interpret these findings as evidence of the strategic behavior of protest organizers that target protest participation and mobilization to keep the movement alive and potentially grow it.

Item Type:	Article
Official URL:	https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/15406237
Additional Information:	© 2021 The Authors
Divisions:	Geography & Environment
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HV Social pathology. Social and public welfare. Criminology R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine > RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine
Date Deposited:	08 Dec 2021 16:12
Last Modified:	16 Nov 2024 07:00
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/112926

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