The Brexit vote, inflation and U.K living standards

Breinlich, Holger, Leromain, Elsa, Novy, Dennis and Sampson, Thomas (2022) The Brexit vote, inflation and U.K living standards. International Economic Review, 63 (1). 63 - 93. ISSN 1468-2354

Text (Int Economic Review - 2021 - Breinlich - THE BREXIT VOTE INFLATION AND U K LIVING STANDARDS) - Published Version Available under License Creative Commons Attribution. Download (1MB)

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Abstract

This article studies how voting for Brexit affected living standards in the United Kingdom. Using heterogeneity in exposure to import costs across product groups, we analyze how the depreciation of sterling caused by the referendum affected consumer prices. We find that the Brexit depreciation led to higher inflation in product groups with greater import shares in consumer expenditure. Our results are consistent with complete pass-through of import costs to consumer prices and imply aggregate exchange rate pass-through of 0.29. We estimate the Brexit depreciation increased consumer prices by 2.9%, costing the average household £870 per year.

Item Type:	Article
Official URL:	https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/14682354
Additional Information:	© 2021 The Authors
Divisions:	Economics
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain H Social Sciences > HF Commerce
Date Deposited:	17 Aug 2021 09:36
Last Modified:	17 Apr 2024 07:51
URI:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/111602

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