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Educational attainment alone can correctly classify over 90% of local authorities by voting outcome in the EU referendum

Calvert Jump, Rob and Michell, Jo (2021) Educational attainment alone can correctly classify over 90% of local authorities by voting outcome in the EU referendum. British Politics and Policy at LSE (25 Jan 2021). Blog Entry.

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Abstract

While it is well established that educational attainment is highly correlated with Brexit voting patterns, the predictive capacity of education has attracted less attention. Using full-sample and split-sample exercises, Rob Calvert Jump and Jo Michell demonstrate that educational attainment alone can correctly classify over 90% of local authorities by voting outcome in the 2016 referendum to leave the EU, depending on the prediction model and classification method used. This illustrates the importance of education as a key factor in the geography of Brexit.

Item Type: Online resource (Blog Entry)
Official URL: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/
Additional Information: © 2021 The Authors
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General)
Date Deposited: 09 Mar 2021 13:57
Last Modified: 16 Jul 2021 23:03
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/108807

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