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The implications of the Boskin report

Oulton, Nicholas (1998) The implications of the Boskin report. National Institute Economic Review, 165. pp. 89-98. ISSN 0027-9501

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Identification Number: 10.1177/002795019816500111

Abstract

The Boskin Commission has claimed that the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is currently overestimating the true rate of inflation by 1.1 percentage points per annum. This article assesses the evidence for this conclusion and its implications for the measurement of past and future US economic performance. 1 f Boskin is right, US GDP growth in the period 1970 to 1996 has been underestimated by about 0.9 per cent per annum. Some at least of the methodological changes recommended by Boskin will probably be adopted. As a result US GDP growth will appear to rise, eventually by as much as 0.5 percent per annum, even though no genuine improvement in economic performance has actually occurred. Boskin has implications for the UK too. Recent evidence suggests that use of a formula recommended by Boskin for averaging price quotes together can by itself reduce UK inflation by 0.4 percent per annum.

Item Type: Article
Official URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/national-i...
Additional Information: © 1998 Cambridge University Press
Divisions: Centre for Macroeconomics
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HF Commerce
Date Deposited: 03 Nov 2020 15:09
Last Modified: 20 Dec 2020 05:41
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/107117

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