Levy, Gilat ORCID: 0009-0006-7641-1668, Moreno de Barreda, Inés and Razin, Ronny ORCID: 0009-0009-5169-0180 (2021) Polarized extremes and the confused centre: campaign targeting of voters with correlation neglect. Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 16 (2). 139 - 155. ISSN 1554-0626
Text (Polarized extremes and the confused centre)
- Accepted Version
Download (121kB) |
Abstract
We model the effect of competing political campaigns on the opinion of voters who exhibit correlation neglect, i.e., fail to understand that different campaigns might be correlated. We show that political campaigners can manipulate voters' beliefs even when voters understand the informativeness of each campaign separately. The optimal coordination of campaigns involves negative correlation of good news and sometimes full positive correlation of bad news. We show that competition in targeted campaigns has the effect of changing the opinions of different groups in different ways; competition increases polarisation among extreme voters but at the same time increases the variance and the quality of moderates' voting decisions.
Item Type: | Article |
---|---|
Official URL: | https://www.nowpublishers.com/QJPS |
Additional Information: | © 2021 The Authors |
Divisions: | Economics LSE |
Subjects: | J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General) |
Date Deposited: | 16 Jun 2020 14:03 |
Last Modified: | 29 Nov 2024 23:18 |
URI: | http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/105093 |
Actions (login required)
View Item |