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Testing the wisdom of the crowds argument: local opinion in the 43 ‘Red Wall’ constituencies that Labour lost

Johnston, Ron, Pattie, Charles and Hartman, Todd (2020) Testing the wisdom of the crowds argument: local opinion in the 43 ‘Red Wall’ constituencies that Labour lost. British Policy and Politics at LSE (24 Apr 2020). Blog Entry.

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Abstract

As a general election approaches, parties want to know not only how many seats they will win but also which ones. Some argue that the best source of such information is the voters in the individual seats because they are more aware of trends in local opinion; so ask enough of them and the ‘wisdom of the crowds’ will indicate the expected winner. Ron Johnston, Charles Pattie, and Todd Hartman test that argument using data for the ‘Red Wall’ constituencies that Labour lost to the Conservatives in 2019.

Item Type: Online resource (Blog Entry)
Official URL: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/
Additional Information: © 2020 The Authors
Divisions: LSE
Subjects: J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General)
Date Deposited: 28 May 2020 13:21
Last Modified: 28 Jun 2020 23:35
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/104632

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