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Financing economic activity in Greece: past challenges and future prospects

Louri, Helen and Migiakis, Petros (2019) Financing economic activity in Greece: past challenges and future prospects. GreeSE Papers (135). LSE London, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.

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Abstract

We examine the existence of a feedback loop between the resilience of the financial sector and Greek economic activity. A sequence of structural VARs is employed using data for bank credit, liquidity, capital, asset quality and private demand in 2001-2018in two data sets. One in monthly frequency with which we examine the determinants of credit provision by Greek banks, and another in quarterly frequency with which we examine the finance-growth nexus for the Greek economy. We find that (a) the deterioration in the quality of Greek banks’ balance sheets affected negatively the provision of credit to the economy, (b) central bank liquidity and recapitalisations of Greek banks provided only a partial remedy and (c) the decline in credit significantly weakened economic activity. Also, we find that there is a role for market financing of the economy but this cannot substitute for the predominantly bank-based financing. Therefore, as the Greek economy starts bouncing back Greek banks have an important role to play, first by solving the high NPLs problem and providing the necessary credit and second by improving the efficiency of capital allocation towards a sustainable growth model.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL: http://www.lse.ac.uk/Hellenic-Observatory/Publicat...
Additional Information: © 2019 The Authors
Divisions: Hellenic Observatory
Subjects: J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe)
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Date Deposited: 27 Nov 2019 08:48
Last Modified: 22 Jan 2020 00:44
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/102644

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