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Propensities, probabilities and experimental statistics

Suárez, Mauricio (2017) Propensities, probabilities and experimental statistics. In: Massimi, Michela, Romeijn, Jan-Willem and Schurz, Gerhard, (eds.) EPSA15 selected papers: the 5th conference of the European Philosophy of Science Association in Düsseldorf. Springer Nature (Firm), Cham, Switzerland, pp. 335-345. ISBN 9783319537290

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I defend a threefold form of pluralism about chance, involving a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities, and frequencies. The argument has a negative and a positive part. Negatively, I argue against the identity thesis that informs current propensity theories, which already suggests the need for a tripartite distinction. Positively, I argue that that a tripartite distinction is implicit in much statistical practice. Finally, I apply a well-known framework in the modelling literature in order to characterize these three separate concepts functionally in terms of their roles in modelling practice.

Item Type: Book Section
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2017 Springer Nature
Divisions: CPNSS
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HA Statistics
B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > B Philosophy (General)
Date Deposited: 16 Aug 2019 08:54
Last Modified: 20 Oct 2021 03:07

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