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The mobilizing effect of political choice

Hobolt, Sara and Hoerner, Julian (2019) The mobilizing effect of political choice. European Journal of Political Research. ISSN 0304-4130 (In Press)

[img] Text (HoboltHoerner_MobilizingPoliticalChoice_EJPR_Final) - Accepted Version
Pending embargo until 1 January 2100.

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Abstract

Political choice is central to citizens’ participation in elections. Nonetheless, we know little about the individual-level mechanisms that link political choice and turnout. In the paper, we argue that turnout decisions are shaped not only by the differences between the parties (party polarization), but also by the closeness of parties to citizens’ own ideological position (congruence), and that congruence matters more in polarized systems where more is at stake. Analyzing cross- national survey data from 80 elections, we find that both polarization and congruence have a mobilizing effect, but that polarization moderates the effect of congruence on turnout. To further explore the causal effect of political choice, we leverage the arrival of a new radical right-wing party in Germany, the Alternative for Germany (AfD), and our findings show that the presence of the AfD had a mobilizing effect, especially for citizens with congruent views.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: © 2019 The Authors
Divisions: Government
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
Date Deposited: 29 Apr 2019 11:24
Last Modified: 15 Aug 2019 23:09
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/100529

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