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Allen, Myles R., Read, Peter L. and Smith, Leonard A. (1992) Temperature oscillations. Nature, 359 (6397). p. 679. ISSN 0028-0836
Allen, Myles R., Read, Peter L. and Smith, Leonard A. (1992) Temperature time-series? Nature, 355 (6362). p. 686. ISSN 0028-0836
Allen, Myles R. and Smith, Leonard A. (1994) Investigating the origins and significance of low-frequency modes of climate variability. Geophysical research letters, 21 (10). pp. 883-886. ISSN 0094-8276
Allen, Myles R. and Smith, Leonard A. (1997) Optimal filtering in singular spectrum analysis. Physics letters A, 234 (6). pp. 419-428. ISSN 0375-9601
Altalo, Mary G. and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) Using ensemble weather forecasts to manage utilities risk. Environmental finance, Octobe (Supple). pp. 48-49. ISSN 1468-8573
Barrieu, Pauline, Bellamy, Nadine and Sahut, Jean-Michel (2012) Assessing the costs of protection in a context of switching stochastic regimes. Applied mathematical finance, 19 (6). pp. 495-511. ISSN 1350-486X
Barrieu, Pauline and El Karoui, Nicole (2012) Monotone stability of quadratic semimartingales with applications to general quadratic BSDEs and unbound existence result. Annals of probability . ISSN 0091-1798 (Submitted)
Barrieu, Pauline and Louberge, Henri (2012) Reinsurance and securitisation of life insurance risk: the impact of regulatory constraints. Insurance: mathematics and economics . ISSN 0167-6687 (In Press)
Beven, Keith (2011) I believe in climate change but how precautionary do we need to be in planning for the future? Hydrological processes, 25 (9). pp. 1517-1520. ISSN 0885-6087
Beven, Keith, Smith, P. J. and Wood, A. (2011) On the colour and spin of epistemic error (and what we might do about it). Hydrology and earth system sciences discussions, 8 (3). pp. 5355-5386. ISSN 1812-2116
Bröcker, Jochen (2011) Estimating reliability and resolution of probability forecasts through decomposition of the empirical score. Climate dynamics, 39 (3). pp. 655-667. ISSN 0930-7575
Bröcker, Jochen and Smith, Leonard A. (2008) From ensemble forecasts to predictive distribution functions. Tellus series A: dynamic meteorology and oceanography, 60 (4). pp. 663-678. ISSN 0280-6495
Bröcker, Jochen and Smith, Leonard A. (2007) Increasing the reliability of reliability diagrams. Weather and forecasting, 22 (3). pp. 651-661. ISSN 0882-8156
Bröcker, Jochen and Smith, Leonard A. (2007) Scoring probabilistic forecasts: the importance of being proper. Weather and forecasting, 22 (2). pp. 382-388. ISSN 0882-8156
Du, Hailiang and Smith, Leonard A. (2012) Parameter estimation through ignorance. Physical review E, 86 (1). 016213. ISSN 1539-3755
Frigg, Arno, Frigg, Roman, Hintermann, Beat, Barg, Alexey and Valderrabano, Victor (2007) The biomechanical influence of tibio-talar containment on stability of the ankle joint. Knee surgery, sports traumatology, arthroscopy, 15 (11). pp. 1355-1362. ISSN 0942-2056
Frigg, Roman (2009) Book review: a companionable coverage of the philosophy of science. Metascience, 18 (1). pp. 139-142. ISSN 0815-0796
Frigg, Roman (2005) Book review: ontological aspects of quantum field theory. Philosophy of science, 72 (3). pp. 511-514. ISSN 0031-8248
Frigg, Roman (2008) Book review: the images of time: an essay on temporal representation. The British journal of aesthetics, 48 (4). pp. 467-469. ISSN 0007-0904
Frigg, Roman (2002) Book review: ubiquity: the science of history ... or why the world is simpler than we think. The British journal for the philosophy of science, 53 (4). pp. 585-591. ISSN 1464-3537
Frigg, Roman (2013) Clever fetishists. Art history . ISSN 1467-8365 (In Press)
Frigg, Roman and Berkovitz, Joseph (2001) Book review: explaining chaos. The British journal for the philosophy of science, 52 (1). pp. 201-205. ISSN 1464-3537
Frigg, Roman, Stainforth, David A. and Smith, Leonard A. (2013) The myopia of imperfect climate models: the case of UKCP09'. Philosophy of science . ISSN 0031-8248 (In Press)
Frigg, Roman and Votsis, Ioannis (2011) Everything you always wanted to know about structural realism but were afraid to ask. European journal for philosophy of science, 1 (2). pp. 227-276. ISSN 1879-4912
Frigg, Roman and Werndl, Charlotte (2012) Demystifying typicality. Philosophy of science, 79 (5). pp. 917-929. ISSN 0031-8248
Giammarino, Flavia and Barrieu, Pauline (2013) Indifference pricing with uncertainty averse preferences. Journal of mathematical economics, 49 (1). pp. 2-15. ISSN 0304-4068
Giammarino, Flavia and Barrieu, Pauline (2009) A semiparametric model for the systematic factors of portfolio credit risk premia. Journal of empirical finance, 16 (4). pp. 655-670. ISSN 0927-5398
Gilmour, Isla, Smith, Leonard A. and Buizza, Roberto (2001) Linear regime duration: is 24 hours a long time in synoptic weather forecasting? Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 58 (22). pp. 3525-3539. ISSN 0022-4928
Glendinning, Paul and Smith, Leonard A. (2013) Lacunarity and period-doubling. Dynamical systems . pp. 1-11. ISSN 1468-9367
Golobic, I., Pavlovic, E., von Hardenberg, J., Berry, M., Nelson, R.A., Kenning, D.B.R. and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) Comparison of a mechanistic model for nucleate boiling with experimental spatio-temporal data. Chemical engineering research and design, 82 (4). pp. 435-444. ISSN 0263-8762
Green, A. E. S., Cross, K. R. and Smith, Leonard A. (1980) Improved analytic characterization of ultraviolet skylight. Photochemistry and Photobiology, 31 (1). pp. 59-65. ISSN 0031-8655
Guerrero, A. and Smith, Leonard A. (2003) Towards coherent estimation of the correlation dimension. Physics letters A, 318 (4-5). pp. 373-379. ISSN 0375-9601
Guerrero, Alexandra and Smith, Leonard A. (2005) A maximum likelihood estimator for long-range persistence. Physica A: statistical mechanics and its applications, 355 (2-4). pp. 619-632. ISSN 0378-4371
Hagedorn, Renate and Smith, Leonard A. (2009) Communicating the value of probabilistic forecasts with Weather Roulette. Meteorological applications, 16 (2). pp. 143-155. ISSN 1350-4827
Hansen, James A. and Smith, Leonard A. (2001) Probabilistic noise reduction. Tellus series A: dynamic meteorology and oceanography, 53 (5). pp. 585-598. ISSN 0280-6495
Hansen, James A. and Smith, Leonard A. (2000) The role of operational constraints in selecting supplementary observations. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 57 (17). pp. 2859-2871. ISSN 0022-4928
Judd, Kevin, Reynolds, Carolyn A., Rosmond, Thomas E. and Smith, Leonard A. (2008) The geometry of model error. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 65 (6). pp. 1749-1772. ISSN 0022-4928
Judd, Kevin and Smith, Leonard A. (2001) Indistinguishable states I: perfect model scenario. Physica D: nonlinear phenomena, 151 (2-4). pp. 125-141. ISSN 0167-2789
Judd, Kevin and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) Indistinguishable states II: the imperfect model scenario. Physica D: nonlinear phenomena, 196 (3-4). pp. 224-242. ISSN 0167-2789
Judd, Kevin, Smith, Leonard A. and Weisheimer, Antje (2004) Gradient free descent: shadowing, and state estimation using limited derivative informations. Physica D: nonlinear phenomena, 190 (3-4). pp. 153-166. ISSN 0167-2789
Judd, Kevin, Smith, Leonard A. and Weisheimer, Antje (2007) How good is an ensemble at capturing truth?: using bounding boxes for forecast evaluation. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 133 (626). pp. 1309-1325. ISSN 0035-9009
Khare, Shree and Smith, Leonard A. (2011) Data assimilation: a fully nonlinear approach to ensemble formation using indistinguishable states. Monthly weather review, 139 (7). pp. 2080-2097. ISSN 0027-0644
Kwasniok, Frank and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) Real-time construction of optimized predictions from data streams. Physical review letters, 92 (16). pp. 116-120. ISSN 0031-9007
Lodge, Martin and Wegrich, Kai (2005) Governing multi-level governance: comparing domain dynamics in German land-local relationships and prisons. Public administration, 83 (2). pp. 417-442. ISSN 0033-3298
McSharry, P. E., Clifford, G. D., Tarassenko, L. and Smith, Leonard A. (2003) A dynamical model for generating synthetic electrocardiogram signals. IEEE transactions on biomedical engineering, 50 (3). pp. 289-294. ISSN 0018-9294
McSharry, P. E., He, T., Smith, Leonard A. and Tarassenko, L. (2002) Linear and non-linear methods for automatic seizure detection in scalp electro-encephalogram recordings. Medical & biological engineering & computing, 40 (4). pp. 447-461. ISSN 0140-0118
McSharry, P.E., Smith, Leonard A. and Tarassenko, L. (2003) Comparison of predictability of epileptic seizures by a linear and a nonlinear method. IEEE transactions on biomedical engineering, 50 (5). pp. 628-633. ISSN 0018-9294
McSharry, Patrick E., Clifford, G. D., Tarassenko, L. and Smith, Leonard A. (2002) A method for generating an artificial RR tachogram of a typical healthy human over 24-hours. Computers in cardiology, 29 . pp. 225-228. ISSN 0276-6574
McSharry, Patrick E., Ellepola, Jerome H., von Hardenberg, Jost, Smith, Leonard A., Kenning, David B. R. and Judd, Kevin (2002) Spatio-temporal analysis of nucleate pool boiling: identification of nucleation sites using non-orthogonal empirical functions. International journal of heat and mass transfer, 45 (2). pp. 237-253. ISSN 0017-9310
McSharry, Patrick E. and Smith, Leonard A. (1999) Better nonlinear models from noisy data: attractors with maximum likelihood. Physical review letters, 83 (21). pp. 4285-4288. ISSN 0031-9007
McSharry, Patrick E. and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) Consistent nonlinear dynamics: identifying model inadequacy. Physica D: nonlinear phenomena, 192 (1-2). pp. 1-22. ISSN 0167-2789
McSharry, Patrick E. and Smith, Leonard A. (2002) Consistent nonlinear dynamics: identifying model inadequacy. Physica D: nonlinear phenomena, 192 (1-2). pp. 1-22. ISSN 0167-2789 (Unpublished)
McSharry, Patrick E., Smith, Leonard A. and Tarassenko, Lionel (2003) Prediction of epileptic seizures: are nonlinear methods relevant? Nature medicine, 9 (3). pp. 241-242. ISSN 1078-8956
Moroz, Irene M., Smith, Leonard A. and Hide, Raymond (1998) Synchronized chaos in coupled double disk homopolar dynamos. International journal of bifurcation and chaos, 8 (11). pp. 2125-2133. ISSN 0218-1274
Oreskes, Naomi, Stainforth, David A. and Smith, Leonard A. (2010) Adaptation to global warming: do climate models tell us what we need to know? Philosophy of science (proceedings), 77 (5). pp. 1012-1028. ISSN 0031-8248
Orrell, D., Smith, Leonard A., Barkmeijer, J. and Palmer, T. N. (2001) Model error in weather forecasting. Nonlinear processes in geophysics, 8 (6). pp. 357-371. ISSN 1023-5809
Orrell, David and Smith, Leonard A. (2003) Visualising bifurcations in high dimensional systems: the spectral bifurcation diagram. International journal of bifurcation and chaos, 13 (10). pp. 3015-3027. ISSN 0218-1274
Paparella, F., Provenzale, A., Smith, Leonard A., Taricco, C. and Vio, R. (1997) Local random analogue prediction of nonlinear processes. Physics letters A, 235 (3). pp. 233-240. ISSN 0375-9601
Provenzale, A., Smith, Leonard A., Vio, R. and Murante, G. (1992) Distinguishing between low-dimensional dynamics and randomness in measured time series. Physica D: nonlinear phenomena, 58 (1-4). pp. 31-49. ISSN 0167-2789
Ranger, Nicola and Niehörster, Falk (2012) Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments. Global environmental change, 22 (3). pp. 703-712. ISSN 0959-3780
Roulston, M.S., Kaplan, D.T., Hardenberg, J. and Smith, Leonard A. (2003) Using medium-range weather forecasts to improve the value of wind energy production. Renewable energy, 28 (4). pp. 585-602. ISSN 0960-1481
Roulston, M.S. and Smith, Leonard A. (2003) Combining dynamical and statistical ensembles. Tellus series A: dynamic meteorology and oceanography, 55 (1). pp. 16-30. ISSN 0280-6495
Roulston, M.S. and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) The boy who cried wolf revisited: the impact of false alarm intolerance on cost-loss scenarios. Weather and forecasting, 19 (2). pp. 391-397. ISSN 0882-8156
Roulston, Mark S, Ellepola, Jerome, von Hardenberg, Jost and Smith, Leonard A. (2005) Forecasting wave height probabilities with numerical weather prediction models. Ocean engineering, 32 (14-15). pp. 1841-1863. ISSN 0029-8018
Roulston, Mark S. and Smith, Leonard A. (2002) Evaluating probabilistic forecasts using information theory. Monthly weather review, 130 (6). pp. 1653-1660. ISSN 0027-0644
Rowlands, Daniel J., Frame, David J., Ackerley, Duncan, Aina, Tolu, Booth, Ben B. B., Christensen, Carl, Collins, Matthew, Faull, Nicholas, Forest, Chris E., Grandey, Benjamin S., Gryspeerdt, Edward, Highwood, Eleanor J., Ingram, William J., Knight, Sylvia, Lopez, Ana, Massey, Neil, McNamara, Frances, Meinshausen, Nicolai, Piani, Claudio, Rosier, Suzanne M., Sanderson, Benjamin M., Smith, Leonard A., Stone, Dáithí A., Thurston, Milo, Yamazaki, Kuniko, Hiro Yamazaki, Y. and Allen, Myles R. (2012) Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble. Nature geoscience, 5 (4). pp. 256-260. ISSN 1752-0894
Siegert, Stefan, Bröcker, Jochen and Kantz, Holger (2011) Predicting outliers in ensemble forecasts. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (660). pp. 1887-1897. ISSN 0035-9009
Siegert, Stefan, Bröcker, Jochen and Kantz, Holger (2012) Rank histograms of stratified Monte Carlo ensembles. Monthly weather review, 140 (5). pp. 1558-1571. ISSN 0027-0644
Smith, Leonard A. (1992) Comments on the paper of R Smith, estimating dimension in noisy chaotic time series. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: series B (statistical methodology), 54 (2). pp. 329-352. ISSN 1369-7412
Smith, Leonard A. (1992) Identification and prediction of low dimensional dynamics. Physica D: nonlinear phenomena, 58 (1-4). pp. 50-76. ISSN 0167-2789
Smith, Leonard A. (1988) Intrinsic limits on dimension calculations. Physics letters A, 133 (6). pp. 283-288. ISSN 0375-9601
Smith, Leonard A. (1994) Local optimal prediction: exploiting strangeness and the variation of sensitivity to initial condition. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society A: mathematical, physical and engineering sciences, 348 (1688). pp. 371-381. ISSN 1364-503X
Smith, Leonard A. (2002) What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 99 (Suppl.). pp. 2487-2492. ISSN 0027-8424
Smith, Leonard A. (1995) A personal overview of nonlinear time-series analysis from a chaos perspective - comments. Scandinavian journal of statistics, 22 (4). pp. 435-437. ISSN 0303-6898
Smith, Leonard A., Cuellar, Milena C., Du, Hailiang and Judd, Kevin (2010) Exploiting dynamical coherence: A geometric approach to parameter estimation in nonlinear models. Physics letters A, 374 (26). pp. 2618-2623. ISSN 0375-9601
Smith, Leonard A., Fournier, J. D. and Spiegel, E. A. (1986) Lacunarity and intermittency in fluid turbulence. Physics letters A, 114 (8-9). pp. 465-468. ISSN 0375-9601
Smith, Leonard A. and Hansen, James A. (2004) Extending the limits of ensemble forecast verification with the minimum spanning tree. Monthly weather review, 132 (6). pp. 1522-1528. ISSN 0027-0644
Smith, Leonard A. and Spiegel, E. A. (1985) Pattern formation by particles settling in viscous flows. Lecture notes in physics, 230 . pp. 306-318. ISSN 1616-6361
Smith, Leonard A. and Spiegel, E. A. (1987) Strange accumulators. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 497 (Chaoti). pp. 61-65. ISSN 0077-8923
Smith, Leonard A. and Stern, Nicholas (2011) Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society A: mathematical, physical and engineering sciences, 369 (1956). pp. 4818-4841. ISSN 1364-503X
Smith, Leonard A., Ziehmann, C. and Fraedrich, K. (1999) Uncertainty dynamics and predictability in chaotic systems. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 125 (560). pp. 2855-2886. ISSN 0035-9009
Stainforth, D. A., Aina, T., Christensen, C., Collins, M., Faull, N., Frame, D. J., Kettleborough, J. A., Knight, S., Martin, A., Murphy, J. M., Piani, C., Sexton, D., Smith, Leonard A., Spicer, R. A., Thorpe, A. J. and Allen, M. R. (2005) Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases. Nature, 433 (7024). pp. 403-406. ISSN 0028-0836
Stainforth, D. A., Allen, M. R., Tredger, Edward and Smith, Leonard A. (2007) Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society A: mathematical, physical and engineering sciences, 365 (1857). pp. 2145-2161. ISSN 1364-503X
Stainforth, David A. and Smith, Leonard A. (2012) Policy: clarify the limits of climate models. Nature, 489 (7415). p. 208. ISSN 0028-0836
Theiler, James and Smith, Leonard A. (1995) Anomalous convergence of Lyapunov exponent estimates. Physical review E, 51 (4). pp. 3738-3741. ISSN 1539-3755
Visser, H., Buentgen, U., D'Arrigo, R. and Petersen, A.C. (2010) Detecting instabilities in tree-ring proxy calibration. Climate of the past, 6 (3). 367 -377. ISSN 1814-9324
Watkins, N. W. (2013) Bunched black (and grouped grey) swans: dissipative and non-dissipative models of correlated extreme fluctuations in complex geosystems. Geophysical research letters, 40 (2). pp. 402-410. ISSN 0094-8276
Weisheimer, Antje, Smith, Leonard A. and Judd, Kevin (2005) A new view of forecast skill: bounding boxes from the DEMETER ensemble seasonal forecasts. Tellus series A: dynamic meteorology and oceanography, 57 (3). pp. 265-279. ISSN 0280-6495
Ziehmann, Christine, Smith, Leonard A. and Kurths, Jürgen (2000) Localized Lyapunov exponents and the prediction of predictability. Physics letters A, 271 (4). pp. 237-251. ISSN 0375-9601
Ziehmann, Christine, Smith, Leonard A. and Kurths, Jürgen (1999) The bootstrap and Lyapunov exponents in deterministic chaos. Physica D: nonlinear phenomena, 126 (1-2). pp. 49-59. ISSN 0167-2789
Ziehmann-Schlumbohm, C., Fraedrich, K. and Smith, Leonard A. (1995) Ein internes Vorhersagbarkeitsexperiment im Lorenz-Modell. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 4 (1). pp. 16-21. ISSN 0941-2948
von Hardenberg, Jost, Kenning, David B. R., Xing, Huijuan and Smith, Leonard A. (2004) Identification of nucleation site interactions. International journal of heat and fluid flow, 25 (2). pp. 298-304. ISSN 0142-727X
Barrieu, P. and El Karoui, N. (2008) Dynamic financial risk management. In: Yor, Marc, (ed.) Aspects of mathematical finance. Springer-Verlag, Paris, France, pp. 23-36. ISBN 9783540752585
Barrieu, Pauline and Scaillet, Olivier (2010) A primer on weather derivatives. In: Filar, Jerzy A. and Haurie, Alain, (eds.) Uncertainty and environmental decision making: a handbook of research and best practice. International series in operations research & management science (138). Springer, pp. 155-176. ISBN 9781441911285
Dischel, Robert S. and Barrieu, Pauline (2002) Financial weather contracts and their application in risk management. In: Dischel, Robert S., (ed.) Climate risk and the weather market: financial risk management with weather hedges. Risk Books, London, UK, pp. 25-42. ISBN 9781899332526
Frigg, Roman (2013) Chance and determinism. In: Hajeck, Alan and Hitchcock, Christopher, (eds.) The Oxford handbook of probability and philosophy. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK. (In Press)
Frigg, Roman (2009) GRW theory (Ghirardi, Rimini, Weber model of quantum physics). In: Greenberger, Daniel, Hentschel, Klaus and Weinert, Friedel, (eds.) Compendium of quantum physics: concepts, experiments, history and philosophy. Springer, pp. 266-270. ISBN 9783540706229
Frigg, Roman (2012) Grundprobleme der Statistischen Mechanik. In: Esfeld, Michael, (ed.) Philosophie der Physik. Suhrkamp, Frankfurt am Main, pp. 325-341. ISBN 9783518296332
Frigg, Roman (2013) Los modelelos y la ficción. In: Lorenzano, Pablo, (ed.) Modelos y teorîas en biologîa. Prometeo, Buenos Aires. (In Press)
Frigg, Roman (2009) Models in physics. In: Craig, E., (ed.) Routledge encyclopedia of philosophy. Routledge.
Frigg, Roman (2013) Qu'est-ce que c'est la méchanique statistique? In: Le Bihan, Sozig, (ed.) Précis de philosophie de la physique. Vuibert, Paris, pp. 152-176. ISBN 9782311011005
Frigg, Roman, Berkovitz, Joseph and Kronz, Fred (2011) The ergodic hierarchy. In: Zalta, Edward N., (ed.) The Stanford encyclopedia of philosophy. Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Machete, Reason L. and Smith, Leonard A. (2013) Probabilistic forecasting: why model imperfection is a poison pill. In: Andersen, Hanne, Dieks, Dennis, Gonzalez, Wenceslao, Ubel, Thomas and Wheeler, Gregory, (eds.) New challenges to philosophy of science. The philosophy of science in a European perspective (4). Springer. ISBN 9789400758445 (In Press)
Frigg, Roman and Hoefer, Carl (2013) Determinismo y probabilidad: una perspectiva humeana. In: Abeledo, Horacio, Miguel, Hernán and Paruelo, Jorge, (eds.) Contrafácticos, causación y explicación. Ediciones Universidad Nacional de General Sarmiento, Buenos Aires. (In Press)
Frigg, Roman and Howard, Catherine (2011) Fact and fiction in the neuropsychology of art. In: Schellekens, Elisabeth and Goldie, Peter, (eds.) The aesthic mind: philosophy and psychology. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK, pp. 54-70. ISBN 9780199691517
Smith, Leonard A. (1995) Accountability and error in ensemble prediction of baroclinic flows. In: Seminar on predictability, 4-8 September 1995. ECMWF seminar proceedings,1 . European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK, pp. 351-368.
Smith, Leonard A. (1991) Applied chaos: quantifying complex systems. In: Atmanspacher, H., (ed.) Information dynamics. NATO ASI series B (256). Plenum Press, New York, USA, pp. 97-102.
Smith, Leonard A. (2001) Disentangling uncertainty and error: on the predictability of nonlinear systems. In: Mees, Alistair I., (ed.) Nonlinear dynamics and statistics. Birkhauser, Boston, pp. 31-64. ISBN 9780817641634
Smith, Leonard A. (1993) Does a meeting in Santa Fe imply chaos? In: Weigend, Andreas S. and Gershenfeld, Neil A., (eds.) Time series prediction:forecasting the future and understanding the past: proceedings of the NATO advanced research workshop on comparative time series analysis, held in Santa Fe, New Mexico, May 14-17, 1992. Santa Fe Institute studies in the sciences of complexity . Addison-Wesley Publishing Co., Reading, USA, pp. 323-344. ISBN 9780201626018
Smith, Leonard A. (1995) Locally optimized prediction of nonlinear systems: stochastic and deterministic. In: Tong, Howell, (ed.) Chaos and forecasting. Nonlinear time series and chaos (2). World Scientific Publishing , Singapore. ISBN 9789810221263
Smith, Leonard A. (2003) Predictability and chaos. In: Holton, James R., Pyle, John and Curry, Judith A., (eds.) Encyclopedia of atmospheric sciences. Academic Press, Amsterdam, London, pp. 1777-1785. ISBN 9780122270901
Smith, Leonard A. (1990) Quantifying chaos through predicitve flows and maps: computing unstable periodic orbits. In: Abraham, Neal B. and Albano, Alfonso, (eds.) Measures of complexity and chaos. NATO ASI series B (208). Plenum Press, New York, USA, pp. 359-366. ISBN 9780306433870
Smith, Leonard A. (1994) Turbulence in the River Severn: a dynamic systems approach. In: Beven, Keith J., Chatwin, Phillip C. and Millbank, John H., (eds.) Mixing and transport in the environment : a memorial volume for Catherine M. Allen (1954-1991). J. Wiley, Chichester, UK, pp. 383-399. ISBN 9780471941422
Smith, Leonard A. (1994) Visualizing predictability with chaotic ensembles. In: Luk, Franklin T., (ed.) Advanced signal processing: algorithms, architectures, and implementations V (proceedings volume). SPIE, Bellingham, USA, pp. 293-304. ISBN 9780819416209
Smith, Leonard A. and Gilmour, Isla (1998) Enlightenment in shadows. In: Kadtke, James B and Bulsara, Adi, (eds.) Nonlinear dynamics and stochastic systems near the millennium. AIP Conference Proceedings (411). American Institute of Physics, New York, United States, pp. 335-340. ISBN 9781563967368
Smith, Leonard A., Godfrey, K., Fox, P. and Warwick, K. (1991) A new technique for fault detection in multi-sensor probes. In: International Conference on Control '91, 25-28 March 1991. IEE conference publication . The Institution, London, UK, pp. 1062-1067. ISBN 9780852965092
Smith, Leonard A. and Roulston, Mark S. (2002) Weather and seasonal forecasting. In: Dischel, Robert, (ed.) Climate risk and the weather market. Risk Books, London, pp. 115-126. ISBN 9781899332526
Thieberger, R., Spiegel, E. A. and Smith, Leonard A. (1990) The dimensions of cosmic fractals. In: Krasner, Saul, (ed.) The ubiquity of chaos. American Association for the Advancement of Science, Washington, USA, 197-217.. ISBN 9780871683502
Barrieu, Pauline and Desgagne, Bernard Sinclair (2009) Economic policy when models disagree. Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy and Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, 4. Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy and Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London, UK.
Barrieu, Pauline and Fehr, Max (2011) Integrated EUA and CER price modeling and application for spread option pricing. Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy and Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment working papers, 40. Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy and Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London, UK.
Frigg, Roman (2002) Models and representation: why structures are not enough. Measurement in physics and economics discussion papers, Dietsch, Peter (ed.) 25/02. The London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.
Frigg, Roman, Bradley, Seamus, Du, Hailiang and Smith, Leonard A. (2013) Laplace's demon and climate change. Grantham Research Institue on Climate Change and the Environment working paper, 103. Grantham Research Institue on Climate Change and the Environment, London, UK.
Mellor, Florence K. (1984) Particulate dispersal in a time dependent flow [in Dynamic differentiation, summer study program in Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution]. WHOI technical report, 84-44. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, USA.
Roulston, Mark S, Ziehmann, Christine and Smith, Leonard A. (2001) A forecast reliability index from ensembles: a comparison of methods. London School of Economics and Political Science, London.
Smith, Leonard A., Roulston, Mark S and von Hardenberg, Jost (2001) End to end ensemble forecasting: towards evaluating the economic value of an ensemble prediction system. Technical memorandum, 336. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK.
Bruynooghe, Daniel (2010) A copula based differential measure of local correlation. In: Relating research to reality: interdisciplinary ideas for a changing world. LSE PhD student poster exhibition, 26 May 2010, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. (Unpublished)
Jarman, Alex and Smith, Leonard A. (2011) Small-number statistics, common sense, and profit: challenges and non-challenges for hurricane forecasting. In: LSE Research Day 2011: The Early Career Researcher, 26 May 2011, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. (Unpublished)
Smith, Leonard A. (2000) Limits to Predictability in 2000 and 2100. In: Proceedings of IEEE 2000 Adaptive Systems for Signal Processing, Communications, and Control Symposium, 01 Oct - 04 Oct 2000, Lake Louise, Alta. , Canada .
Smith, Leonard A. (2003) Predictability past predictability present. In: ECMWF Seminar on Predictability, 2002, Reading, UK.
Smith, Leonard A. and Gilmour, Isla (1997) Accountability and internal consistency in ensemble formation. In: Workshop on Predictability, 20 - 22 October 1997, Reading, UK.
Smith, Leonard A. and McSharry, Patrick E. (1998) Just do it: reductionism, modelling and black-box forecasting. In: International Workshop on Advanced Black-Box Techniques for Nonlinear Modeling: Theory and Applications, 08 - 10 July 1998, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium.
Wheatcroft, Edward (2013) Will it rain tomorrow? Improving probabilistic forecasts. In: LSE Research Festival 2013: Exploring Research Stories Through Visual Images, 01 March 2013, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. (Unpublished)
Smith, Leonard A. (2007) Chaos: a very short introduction. Very short introductions , 159 . Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK. ISBN 0192853783
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