Kleine, Mareike and Minaudier, Clement (2016) Negotiating under political uncertainty: national elections and the dynamics of international cooperation. British Journal of Political Science . ISSN 1469-2112 (In Press)
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Abstract
This article explores if and how national elections affect the chances of concluding an international agreement. Drawing on a literature on about the informational efficiency of elections, we are interested in how political uncertainty in the run up to an election impacts the dynamics of international negotiations. Using the case of decision-making in the European Union (EU), we find that pending national elections significantly reduce the chances of reaching an agreement at the international level, that this effect is strongest during close elections with uncertain outcomes, and that it is particularly pronounced in the case of elections in larger member states. Our findings highlight the fruitfulness of further research into the dynamics between national and international politics. The article has positive and normative implications for the literature on two-level games, international negotiations, and legislative bargaining in the EU.
| Item Type: | Article |
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| Official URL: | http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayJourna... |
| Additional Information: | © 2016 Cambridge University Press |
| Library of Congress subject classification: | J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) J Political Science > JZ International relations |
| Sets: | Departments > European Institute |
| Date Deposited: | 31 Aug 2016 16:53 |
| URL: | http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/67553/ |
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