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Climate change assessments: confidence, probability and decision

Bradley, Richard, Helgeson, Casey and Hill, Brian (2016) Climate change assessments: confidence, probability and decision. Philosophy of Science . ISSN 0031-8248 (In Press)

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Abstract

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in their periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC's novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.

Item Type: Article
Official URL: http://journal.philsci.org/
Additional Information: © 2016 Philosophy of Science Association
Library of Congress subject classification: B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > B Philosophy (General)
Sets: Departments > Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method
Project and Funder Information:
Project IDFunder NameFunder ID
AH/J006033/1AH/J006033/1 Arts and Humanities Research CouncilUNSPECIFIED
Date Deposited: 08 Aug 2016 08:45
URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/67373/

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