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Climate change assessments: confidence, probability and decision

Bradley, Richard ORCID: 0000-0003-2184-7844, Helgeson, Casey ORCID: 0000-0001-5333-9954 and Hill, Brian (2017) Climate change assessments: confidence, probability and decision. Philosophy of Science, 84 (3). pp. 500-522. ISSN 0031-8248

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Identification Number: 10.1086/692145


The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in their periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC's novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.

Item Type: Article
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2017 Philosophy of Science Association
Divisions: Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method
Subjects: B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > B Philosophy (General)
Date Deposited: 08 Aug 2016 08:45
Last Modified: 19 Jun 2024 21:51
Projects: AH/J006033/1, AH/J006033/1
Funders: Arts and Humanities Research Council, AH/J006033/1 Arts and Humanities Research Council

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