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The effect of long-term migration dynamics on population structure in England & Wales and Scotland

Murphy, Michael (2016) The effect of long-term migration dynamics on population structure in England & Wales and Scotland. Population Studies, 70 (2). pp. 149-162. ISSN 0032-4728

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Identification Number: 10.1080/00324728.2016.1185140

Abstract

We investigated the effect of migration on population dynamics in England & Wales and Scotland from the mid-nineteenth century to the present by comparing actual population size and structure with estimates based on zero net migration from a range of starting dates. In this period, Scotland had the largest net outflow among countries in Europe for which detailed information is available, whereas overall net migration in England & Wales was close to zero. In the absence of migration, population would have been over twice as large in Scotland in 2013 as the actual value, but similar to its actual value in England & Wales. Levels and pace of population ageing have been broadly similar in both countries, so the major impact of differential migration has been on population size rather than structure. We discuss these findings in relation to the debate on migration policy between political parties supporting and opposing independence in the 2014 Scottish referendum.

Item Type: Article
Official URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/rpst20
Additional Information: © 2016 Population Investigation Committee
Divisions: Social Policy
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HN Social history and conditions. Social problems. Social reform
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN101 Great Britain
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe) > JN1187 Scotland
J Political Science > JV Colonies and colonization. Emigration and immigration. International migration
Sets: Departments > Social Policy
Date Deposited: 22 Jun 2016 10:21
Last Modified: 20 Sep 2019 02:12
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/66972

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