Garicano, Luis and Steinwender, Claudia (2016) Survive another day: using changes in the composition of investments to measure the cost of credit constraints. Review of Economics and Statistics, 98 (5). pp. 913-924. ISSN 0034-6535
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We introduce a novel empirical strategy to measure the size of credit shocks. Theoretically, we show that credit shocks reduce the value of long-term relative to short-term investments. Empirically, we can therefore compare the reduction of long-term relative to short-term investments within firms, allowing for firm-times-year fixed effects. Using Spanish firm level data, we estimate the credit crunch to be equivalent to an additional tax rate of around 11% on the longest lived capital. To pin down credit constraints as the underlying cause, we apply triple differences strategies using foreign ownership or pre-crisis debt maturity.
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