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Expert judgment for climate change adaptation

Thompson, Erica, Frigg, Roman ORCID: 0000-0003-0812-0907 and Helgeson, Casey ORCID: 0000-0001-5333-9954 (2016) Expert judgment for climate change adaptation. Philosophy of Science, 83 (5). pp. 1110-1121. ISSN 0031-8248

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Identification Number: 10.1086/687942


Climate change adaptation is largely a local matter, and adaptation planning can benefit from local climate change projections. Such projections are typically generated by accepting climate model outputs in a relatively uncritical way. We argue, based on the IPCC’s treatment of model outputs from the CMIP5 ensemble, that this approach is unwarranted and that subjective expert judgment should play a central role in the provision of local climate change projections intended to support decision-making.

Item Type: Article
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2016 Philosophy of Science Association
Divisions: Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method
Centre for Analysis of Time Series
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
Date Deposited: 20 Jan 2016 14:19
Last Modified: 26 Feb 2024 06:51
Projects: AH/J006033/1, AH/J006033/1, FFI2012-37354, NE/M008304/1
Funders: Arts and Humanities Research Council, Arts and Humanities Research Council, Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation, Natural Environment Research Council

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