Expert judgment for climate change adaptation

Thompson, Erica, Frigg, Roman and Helgeson, Casey (2016) Expert judgment for climate change adaptation. Philosophy of Science . ISSN 0031-8248 (In Press)

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Abstract

Climate change adaptation is largely a local matter, and adaptation planning can benefit from local climate change projections. Such projections are typically generated by accepting climate model outputs in a relatively uncritical way. We argue, based on the IPCC’s treatment of model outputs from the CMIP5 ensemble, that this approach is unwarranted and that subjective expert judgment should play a central role in the provision of local climate change projections intended to support decision-making.

Item Type:	Article
Official URL:	http://journal.philsci.org/
Additional Information:	© 2016 Philosophy of Science Association
Library of Congress subject classification:	G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
Sets:	Departments > Geography and Environment Research centres and groups > Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment Research centres and groups > Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science (CPNSS) Research centres and groups > Centre for the Analysis of Time Series (CATS)
Funders:	Arts and Humanities Research Council
Projects:	AH/J006033/1
Date Deposited:	20 Jan 2016 14:19
URL:	http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/65071/

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