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Emergent chance

List, Christian ORCID: 0000-0003-1627-800X and Pivato, Marcus (2015) Emergent chance. Philosophical Review, 124 (1). pp. 119-152. ISSN 0031-8108

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Identification Number: 10.1215/00318108-2812670


This article offers a new argument for the claim that there can be nondegenerate objective chance in a deterministic world. Using a formal model of the relationship between different levels of description of a system, the article shows how objective chance at a higher level can coexist with its absence at a lower level. Unlike previous arguments for the level-specificity of chance, the present argument shows, in a precise sense, that higher-level chance does not collapse into epistemic probability, despite higher-level properties supervening on lower-level ones. The article demonstrates that the distinction between objective chance and epistemic probability can be drawn, and operationalized, at every level of description. There is, therefore, not a single distinction between objective and epistemic probability but a family of such distinctions

Item Type: Article
Official URL:
Additional Information: © 2014 Cornell University
Divisions: Government
Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method
Subjects: B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > B Philosophy (General)
Date Deposited: 25 Feb 2015 09:13
Last Modified: 03 Jul 2024 07:51
Projects: 262620–2008
Funders: Leverhulme Major Research Fellowship, NSERC

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