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Great expectations, veto players, and the changing politics of banking crises

Chwieroth, Jeffrey and Walter, Andrew (2015) Great expectations, veto players, and the changing politics of banking crises. SRC Discussion Paper, No 28. Systemic Risk Centre, The London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.

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Abstract

How have the politics of banking crises changed over the long run? Unlike existing static accounts, we offer a dynamic theory emphasizing how the emergence of voters’ “great expectations” after the 1930s concerning crisis prevention and mitigation reshaped the politics of banking crises in many democratic countries. We argue that both variations over time, centred on the emergence of these expectations, and variations within democratic countries, based on how veto players constrain policy change, exerted an important influence on the propensity of voters to punish incumbent political parties in the aftermath of banking crises. We find strong support for our argument using a new dataset of 100 democratic countries from 1831 – 2011. Political punishment in the aftermath of a banking crisis is mainly a modern phenomenon and is most evident in systems with polarized veto players.

Item Type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)
Official URL: http://www.systemicrisk.ac.uk/
Additional Information: © 2015 Systemic Risk Centre, The London School of Economics and Political Science
Divisions: Systemic Risk Centre
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
JEL classification: R - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics > R2 - Household Analysis > R21 - Housing Demand
Sets: Research centres and groups > Systemic Risk Centre
Date Deposited: 16 Feb 2015 12:49
Last Modified: 19 Jan 2016 11:40
Projects: ES/K002309/1
Funders: Economic and Social Research Council
URI: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/60953

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